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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP190] · 70% DEPTH

Four (4) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #190

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP190, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 7 copies of Four (4) among 125 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -22 bps.

DEP190 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP190 4 Density
7/125 (5.60%)
DEP190 Draw Delta
-22 bps
DEP190 Tableau Gate
B5vP5:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B P B B P P B P P P B B B B
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP190 (Four (4) -> 7/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP190 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP190 Rank 4 Supply
7 of 32 Remaining (5.60%)

Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).

DEP190 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -22 bps / B-Stand 36 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP190 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 5) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP190 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+5=8 vs B(2+3)=3 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP190.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP190

How Removing Four (4) at 291 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP190)

When shoe [DEP190] advances to 291 cards (70% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 7/125 (5.60%), nudging the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP190-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP190] moves Player draw probability by -22 bps and Banker stand probability by 36 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5] (draws a sixth card).

Depletion Matrix for DEP190 (Four (4) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP190 MetricDEP190 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP190 At 291 DealtDEP190 Tableau Effect
[DEP190:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP190:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)7/125 (5.60%)Point Value 4
[DEP190:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -22 bps / B 36 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP190:Hand]P=3 vs B=5, P3=5P=8 vs B=36c (P)
  • [DEP190-1] Verify [DEP190] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP190-2] Compare [DEP190] Four (4) density (7/125=5.60%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP190-3] Apply [DEP190] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP190

Why DEP190 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP190-C2] Auditioning [DEP190] at depth, Player opens 3 + 5 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP190]). Across [DEP190] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP190] BBPPPBBPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Four (4) is depleted to 7/125 in DEP190, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP190 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android