In shoe-depletion analysis DEP316, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 9 copies of Four (4) among 187 unseen cards (4.81% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -14 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP316 (Four (4) -> 9/187).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 4.81% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP316.
When shoe [DEP316] advances to 229 cards (55% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 9/187 (4.81%), nudging the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP316-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP316] moves Player draw probability by -14 bps and Banker stand probability by 11 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3] (draws a sixth card).
| DEP316 Metric | DEP316 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP316 At 229 Dealt | DEP316 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP316:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 187 Left (55% Dealt) | Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) |
| [DEP316:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 9/187 (4.81%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP316:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -14 bps / B 11 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP316:Hand] | P=3 vs B=2, P3=3 | P=6 vs B=3 | 6c (P) |
[DEP316-C0] Auditioning [DEP316] at depth, Player opens 3 + 3 -> 6 while Banker opens 2 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP316]). Across [DEP316] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP316] BBPPBPBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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