In shoe-depletion analysis DEP246, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 11 copies of Four (4) among 187 unseen cards (5.88% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -34 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP246 (Four (4) -> 11/187).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.88% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP246.
When shoe [DEP246] advances to 229 cards (55% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 11/187 (5.88%), nudging the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.
[DEP246-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP246] moves Player draw probability by -34 bps and Banker stand probability by 18 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[6][7] (draws a sixth card).
| DEP246 Metric | DEP246 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP246 At 229 Dealt | DEP246 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP246:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 187 Left (55% Dealt) | Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) |
| [DEP246:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 11/187 (5.88%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP246:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -34 bps / B 18 bps | B6 Draw 6-7 Gate |
| [DEP246:Hand] | P=5 vs B=6, P3=7 | P=2 vs B=1 | 6c (P) |
[DEP246-C4] Auditioning [DEP246] at depth, Player opens 5 + 7 -> 2 while Banker opens 6 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP246]). Across [DEP246] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP246] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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