In shoe-depletion analysis DEP302, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 16 copies of Four (4) among 250 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -46 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP302 (Four (4) -> 16/250).
Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 1) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP302.
When shoe [DEP302] advances to 166 cards (40% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 16/250 (6.40%), nudging the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP302-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP302] moves Player draw probability by -46 bps and Banker stand probability by 31 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[2][1] (draws a sixth card).
| DEP302 Metric | DEP302 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP302 At 166 Dealt | DEP302 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP302:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP302:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 16/250 (6.40%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP302:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -46 bps / B 31 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP302:Hand] | P=1 vs B=2, P3=1 | P=2 vs B=9 | 6c (B) |
[DEP302-C6] Auditioning [DEP302] at depth, Player opens 1 + 1 -> 2 while Banker opens 2 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP302]). Across [DEP302] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP302] BBPPPBBPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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