In shoe-depletion analysis DEP232, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 14 copies of Four (4) among 250 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -29 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP232 (Four (4) -> 14/250).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 9) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP232.
When shoe [DEP232] advances to 166 cards (40% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 14/250 (5.60%), nudging the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.
[DEP232-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP232] moves Player draw probability by -29 bps and Banker stand probability by 38 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[6][9] (stands pat on five cards).
| DEP232 Metric | DEP232 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP232 At 166 Dealt | DEP232 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP232:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP232:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 14/250 (5.60%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP232:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -29 bps / B 38 bps | B6 Draw 6-7 Gate |
| [DEP232:Hand] | P=3 vs B=6, P3=9 | P=2 vs B=6 | 5c (B) |
[DEP232-C10] Auditioning [DEP232] at depth, Player opens 3 + 9 -> 2 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (B in [DEP232]). Across [DEP232] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP232] BBPPBBPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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