In shoe-depletion analysis DEP162, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 16 copies of Four (4) among 250 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -12 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP162 (Four (4) -> 16/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 5) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP162.
When shoe [DEP162] advances to 166 cards (40% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 16/250 (6.40%), nudging the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP162-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP162] moves Player draw probability by -12 bps and Banker stand probability by 14 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5] (draws a sixth card).
| DEP162 Metric | DEP162 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP162 At 166 Dealt | DEP162 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP162:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP162:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 16/250 (6.40%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP162:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -12 bps / B 14 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP162:Hand] | P=5 vs B=5, P3=5 | P=0 vs B=5 | 6c (B) |
[DEP162-C1] Auditioning [DEP162] at depth, Player opens 5 + 5 -> 0 while Banker opens 5 -> 5 across 6c (B in [DEP162]). Across [DEP162] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP162] BBPPBPBPPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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