In shoe-depletion analysis DEP092, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 14 copies of Four (4) among 250 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -32 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP092 (Four (4) -> 14/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 5) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP092.
When shoe [DEP092] advances to 166 cards (40% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 14/250 (5.60%), nudging the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.
[DEP092-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP092] moves Player draw probability by -32 bps and Banker stand probability by 21 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[4][5] (draws a sixth card).
| DEP092 Metric | DEP092 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP092 At 166 Dealt | DEP092 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP092:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP092:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 14/250 (5.60%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP092:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -32 bps / B 21 bps | B4 Draw 2-7 Gate |
| [DEP092:Hand] | P=1 vs B=4, P3=5 | P=6 vs B=3 | 6c (P) |
[DEP092-C5] Auditioning [DEP092] at depth, Player opens 1 + 5 -> 6 while Banker opens 4 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP092]). Across [DEP092] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP092] BBPPBPBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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