In shoe-depletion analysis DEP022, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 16 copies of Four (4) among 250 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -15 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP022 (Four (4) -> 16/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP022.
When shoe [DEP022] advances to 166 cards (40% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 16/250 (6.40%), nudging the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP022-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP022] moves Player draw probability by -15 bps and Banker stand probability by 28 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] (stands pat on five cards).
| DEP022 Metric | DEP022 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP022 At 166 Dealt | DEP022 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP022:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP022:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 16/250 (6.40%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP022:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -15 bps / B 28 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP022:Hand] | P=3 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=1 vs B=3 | 5c (B) |
[DEP022-C9] Auditioning [DEP022] at depth, Player opens 3 + 8 -> 1 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP022]). Across [DEP022] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP022] BBPPBPPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
Enter any sequence to inspect the Big Road, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, Cockroach Pig, and next-hand previews.
About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
Train Third-Card Rule decisions, depth counting, lookback column references, and derived-road speed recognition.
Visual step-by-step breakdowns with closed captions, chapter markers, and full searchable transcripts.
Macau Cantonese, French, and mathematical table terms explained in plain English with road diagrams.
Direct answers to real student questions on dragon tails, tie handling, lookback rules, and table variants.
Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.