In shoe-depletion analysis DEP288, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of Four (4) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -41 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP288 (Four (4) -> 19/312).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP288.
When shoe [DEP288] advances to 104 cards (25% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 19/312 (6.09%), nudging the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP288-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP288] moves Player draw probability by -41 bps and Banker stand probability by 20 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3] (draws a sixth card).
| DEP288 Metric | DEP288 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP288 At 104 Dealt | DEP288 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP288:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP288:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 19/312 (6.09%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP288:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -41 bps / B 20 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP288:Hand] | P=5 vs B=2, P3=3 | P=8 vs B=5 | 6c (P) |
[DEP288-C12] Auditioning [DEP288] at depth, Player opens 5 + 3 -> 8 while Banker opens 2 -> 5 across 6c (P in [DEP288]). Across [DEP288] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP288] BBPPBBPBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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