In shoe-depletion analysis DEP218, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 21 copies of Four (4) among 312 unseen cards (6.73% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -24 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP218 (Four (4) -> 21/312).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.73% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP218.
When shoe [DEP218] advances to 104 cards (25% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 21/312 (6.73%), nudging the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.
[DEP218-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP218] moves Player draw probability by -24 bps and Banker stand probability by 27 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[6][7] (draws a sixth card).
| DEP218 Metric | DEP218 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP218 At 104 Dealt | DEP218 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP218:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP218:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 21/312 (6.73%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP218:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -24 bps / B 27 bps | B6 Draw 6-7 Gate |
| [DEP218:Hand] | P=1 vs B=6, P3=7 | P=8 vs B=3 | 6c (P) |
[DEP218-C3] Auditioning [DEP218] at depth, Player opens 1 + 7 -> 8 while Banker opens 6 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP218]). Across [DEP218] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP218] BBPPBPBBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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