In shoe-depletion analysis DEP148, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of Four (4) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -44 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP148 (Four (4) -> 19/312).
Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP148.
When shoe [DEP148] advances to 104 cards (25% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 19/312 (6.09%), nudging the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP148-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP148] moves Player draw probability by -44 bps and Banker stand probability by 34 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] (draws a sixth card).
| DEP148 Metric | DEP148 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP148 At 104 Dealt | DEP148 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP148:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP148:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 19/312 (6.09%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP148:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -44 bps / B 34 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP148:Hand] | P=3 vs B=5, P3=7 | P=0 vs B=1 | 6c (B) |
[DEP148-C7] Auditioning [DEP148] at depth, Player opens 3 + 7 -> 0 while Banker opens 5 -> 1 across 6c (B in [DEP148]). Across [DEP148] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP148] BBPPPBBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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