In shoe-depletion analysis DEP008, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of Four (4) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -47 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP008 (Four (4) -> 19/312).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Four (4).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP008.
When shoe [DEP008] advances to 104 cards (25% depth), Four (4) supply drops from 32/416 (7.69%) to 19/312 (6.09%), nudging the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP008-B] Since Four (4) contributes 4 points, scarcity in [DEP008] moves Player draw probability by -47 bps and Banker stand probability by 17 bps without ever changing BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] (stands pat on five cards).
| DEP008 Metric | DEP008 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP008 At 104 Dealt | DEP008 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP008:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP008:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 19/312 (6.09%) | Point Value 4 |
| [DEP008:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -47 bps / B 17 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP008:Hand] | P=1 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=9 vs B=3 | 5c (P) |
[DEP008-C2] Auditioning [DEP008] at depth, Player opens 1 + 8 -> 9 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (P in [DEP008]). Across [DEP008] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP008] BBPPBBPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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