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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP261] · 70% DEPTH

Five (5) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #261

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP261, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 8 copies of Five (5) among 125 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -44 bps.

DEP261 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP261 5 Density
8/125 (6.40%)
DEP261 Draw Delta
-44 bps
DEP261 Tableau Gate
B6vP6:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P P B B P B B B P P P B P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP261 (Five (5) -> 8/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP261 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP261 Rank 5 Supply
8 of 32 Remaining (6.40%)

Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Five (5).

DEP261 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -44 bps / B-Stand 39 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP261 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][6] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 6) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP261 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+6=8 vs B(2+4)=7 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP261.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP261

How Removing Five (5) at 291 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP261)

Within shoe segment [DEP261] at 291 cards out, only 8 of 32 initial Five (5) cards remain inside 125 unseen cards (6.40% vs 7.69%), modifying the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.

[DEP261-B] Removing 5-point Five (5) cards adjusts Player's 0..5 draw incidence by -44 bps and Banker's standing share by 39 bps; once B=6 faces fifth-card 6, the rulebook draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP261 (Five (5) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP261 MetricDEP261 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP261 At 291 DealtDEP261 Tableau Effect
[DEP261:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP261:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)8/125 (6.40%)Point Value 5
[DEP261:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -44 bps / B 39 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP261:Hand]P=2 vs B=6, P3=6P=8 vs B=76c (P)
  • [DEP261-1] Verify [DEP261] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP261-2] Compare [DEP261] Five (5) density (8/125=6.40%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP261-3] Apply [DEP261] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][6]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP261

Why DEP261 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP261-C5] Auditioning [DEP261] at depth, Player opens 2 + 6 -> 8 while Banker opens 6 -> 7 across 6c (P in [DEP261]). Across [DEP261] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP261] PPBBBPPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Five (5) is depleted to 8/125 in DEP261, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][6] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP261 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android