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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP121] · 70% DEPTH

Five (5) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #121

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP121, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 8 copies of Five (5) among 125 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -47 bps.

DEP121 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP121 5 Density
8/125 (6.40%)
DEP121 Draw Delta
-47 bps
DEP121 Tableau Gate
B4vP2:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P P B B B P P P P B B P B B B P
Big Eye Boy = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP121 (Five (5) -> 8/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP121 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP121 Rank 5 Supply
8 of 32 Remaining (6.40%)

Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Five (5).

DEP121 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -47 bps / B-Stand 22 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP121 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][2] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 2) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP121 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+K)+2=2 vs B(A+3)=3 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP121.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP121

How Removing Five (5) at 291 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP121)

Within shoe segment [DEP121] at 291 cards out, only 8 of 32 initial Five (5) cards remain inside 125 unseen cards (6.40% vs 7.69%), modifying the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP121-B] Removing 5-point Five (5) cards adjusts Player's 0..5 draw incidence by -47 bps and Banker's standing share by 22 bps; once B=4 faces fifth-card 2, the rulebook draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP121 (Five (5) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP121 MetricDEP121 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP121 At 291 DealtDEP121 Tableau Effect
[DEP121:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP121:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)8/125 (6.40%)Point Value 5
[DEP121:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -47 bps / B 22 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP121:Hand]P=0 vs B=4, P3=2P=2 vs B=36c (B)
  • [DEP121-1] Verify [DEP121] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP121-2] Compare [DEP121] Five (5) density (8/125=6.40%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP121-3] Apply [DEP121] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][2]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP121

Why DEP121 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP121-C0] Auditioning [DEP121] at depth, Player opens 0 + 2 -> 2 while Banker opens 4 -> 3 across 6c (B in [DEP121]). Across [DEP121] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP121] PPBBPPBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Five (5) is depleted to 8/125 in DEP121, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][2] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP121 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android