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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP051] · 70% DEPTH

Five (5) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #51

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP051, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 6 copies of Five (5) among 125 unseen cards (4.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -30 bps.

DEP051 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP051 5 Density
6/125 (4.80%)
DEP051 Draw Delta
-30 bps
DEP051 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P B B B P P P P B B P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP051 (Five (5) -> 6/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP051 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP051 Rank 5 Supply
6 of 32 Remaining (4.80%)

Compares depleted density 4.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Five (5).

DEP051 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -30 bps / B-Stand 29 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP051 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP051 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+8=0 vs B(9+4)=3 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP051.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP051

How Removing Five (5) at 291 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP051)

Within shoe segment [DEP051] at 291 cards out, only 6 of 32 initial Five (5) cards remain inside 125 unseen cards (4.80% vs 7.69%), modifying the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP051-B] Removing 5-point Five (5) cards adjusts Player's 0..5 draw incidence by -30 bps and Banker's standing share by 29 bps; once B=3 faces fifth-card 8, the rulebook stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP051 (Five (5) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP051 MetricDEP051 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP051 At 291 DealtDEP051 Tableau Effect
[DEP051:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP051:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)6/125 (4.80%)Point Value 5
[DEP051:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -30 bps / B 29 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP051:Hand]P=2 vs B=3, P3=8P=0 vs B=35c (B)
  • [DEP051-1] Verify [DEP051] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP051-2] Compare [DEP051] Five (5) density (6/125=4.80%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP051-3] Apply [DEP051] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP051

Why DEP051 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP051-C4] Auditioning [DEP051] at depth, Player opens 2 + 8 -> 0 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP051]). Across [DEP051] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP051] PPBBPBPBBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Five (5) is depleted to 6/125 in DEP051, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP051 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android