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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP247] · 55% DEPTH

Five (5) Depletion at 229/416 Cards (55%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #247

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP247, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 10 copies of Five (5) among 187 unseen cards (5.35% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -39 bps.

DEP247 Shoe Depth
229/416 (55%)
DEP247 5 Density
10/187 (5.35%)
DEP247 Draw Delta
-39 bps
DEP247 Tableau Gate
B6vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B B B P P P P B P P B B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP247 (Five (5) -> 10/187).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP247 Penetration Depth
229 Dealt / 187 Remaining (55%)

Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP247 Rank 5 Supply
10 of 32 Remaining (5.35%)

Compares depleted density 5.35% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Five (5).

DEP247 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -39 bps / B-Stand 28 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP247 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP247 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+K)+8=8 vs B(2+4)=6 (P)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP247.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP247

How Removing Five (5) at 229 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP247)

Within shoe segment [DEP247] at 229 cards out, only 10 of 32 initial Five (5) cards remain inside 187 unseen cards (5.35% vs 7.69%), modifying the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.

[DEP247-B] Removing 5-point Five (5) cards adjusts Player's 0..5 draw incidence by -39 bps and Banker's standing share by 28 bps; once B=6 faces fifth-card 8, the rulebook stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP247 (Five (5) at 229/416 Cards)
DEP247 MetricDEP247 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP247 At 229 DealtDEP247 Tableau Effect
[DEP247:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)187 Left (55% Dealt)Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt)
[DEP247:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)10/187 (5.35%)Point Value 5
[DEP247:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -39 bps / B 28 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP247:Hand]P=0 vs B=6, P3=8P=8 vs B=65c (P)
  • [DEP247-1] Verify [DEP247] 187 unseen cards remain after 229/416 exit.
  • [DEP247-2] Compare [DEP247] Five (5) density (10/187=5.35%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP247-3] Apply [DEP247] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8]=false (5c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP247

Why DEP247 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP247-C11] Auditioning [DEP247] at depth, Player opens 0 + 8 -> 8 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (P in [DEP247]). Across [DEP247] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP247] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Five (5) is depleted to 10/187 in DEP247, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 229/416 cards in DEP247 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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