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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP303] · 40% DEPTH

Five (5) Depletion at 166/416 Cards (40%): P0-5 vs B-Stand Impact #303

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP303, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 15 copies of Five (5) among 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -14 bps.

DEP303 Shoe Depth
166/416 (40%)
DEP303 5 Density
15/250 (6.00%)
DEP303 Draw Delta
-14 bps
DEP303 Tableau Gate
B2vP2:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P B P P B B P B B B P P P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP303 (Five (5) -> 15/250).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP303 Penetration Depth
166 Dealt / 250 Remaining (40%)

Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP303 Rank 5 Supply
15 of 32 Remaining (6.00%)

Compares depleted density 6.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Five (5).

DEP303 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -14 bps / B-Stand 10 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP303 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 2) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP303 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+2=4 vs B(8+4)=1 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP303.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP303

How Removing Five (5) at 166 Cards Affects P0-5 vs B-Stand (DEP303)

Within shoe segment [DEP303] at 166 cards out, only 15 of 32 initial Five (5) cards remain inside 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs 7.69%), modifying the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.

[DEP303-B] Removing 5-point Five (5) cards adjusts Player's 0..5 draw incidence by -14 bps and Banker's standing share by 10 bps; once B=2 faces fifth-card 2, the rulebook draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP303 (Five (5) at 166/416 Cards)
DEP303 MetricDEP303 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP303 At 166 DealtDEP303 Tableau Effect
[DEP303:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)250 Left (40% Dealt)Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt)
[DEP303:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)15/250 (6.00%)Point Value 5
[DEP303:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -14 bps / B 10 bpsP0-5 vs B-Stand
[DEP303:Hand]P=2 vs B=2, P3=2P=4 vs B=16c (P)
  • [DEP303-1] Verify [DEP303] 250 unseen cards remain after 166/416 exit.
  • [DEP303-2] Compare [DEP303] Five (5) density (15/250=6.00%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP303-3] Apply [DEP303] BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP303

Why DEP303 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP303-C0] Auditioning [DEP303] at depth, Player opens 2 + 2 -> 4 while Banker opens 2 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP303]). Across [DEP303] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP303] PPBBBPPBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Five (5) is depleted to 15/250 in DEP303, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 166/416 cards in DEP303 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android