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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP093] · 40% DEPTH

Five (5) Depletion at 166/416 Cards (40%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #93

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP093, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 17 copies of Five (5) among 250 unseen cards (6.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -37 bps.

DEP093 Shoe Depth
166/416 (40%)
DEP093 5 Density
17/250 (6.80%)
DEP093 Draw Delta
-37 bps
DEP093 Tableau Gate
B4vP2:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B B B P P P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP093 (Five (5) -> 17/250).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP093 Penetration Depth
166 Dealt / 250 Remaining (40%)

Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP093 Rank 5 Supply
17 of 32 Remaining (6.80%)

Compares depleted density 6.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Five (5).

DEP093 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -37 bps / B-Stand 31 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP093 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][2] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 2) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP093 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+2=4 vs B(A+3)=5 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP093.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP093

How Removing Five (5) at 166 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP093)

Within shoe segment [DEP093] at 166 cards out, only 17 of 32 initial Five (5) cards remain inside 250 unseen cards (6.80% vs 7.69%), modifying the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP093-B] Removing 5-point Five (5) cards adjusts Player's 0..5 draw incidence by -37 bps and Banker's standing share by 31 bps; once B=4 faces fifth-card 2, the rulebook draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP093 (Five (5) at 166/416 Cards)
DEP093 MetricDEP093 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP093 At 166 DealtDEP093 Tableau Effect
[DEP093:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)250 Left (40% Dealt)Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt)
[DEP093:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)17/250 (6.80%)Point Value 5
[DEP093:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -37 bps / B 31 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP093:Hand]P=2 vs B=4, P3=2P=4 vs B=56c (B)
  • [DEP093-1] Verify [DEP093] 250 unseen cards remain after 166/416 exit.
  • [DEP093-2] Compare [DEP093] Five (5) density (17/250=6.80%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP093-3] Apply [DEP093] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][2]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP093

Why DEP093 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP093-C12] Auditioning [DEP093] at depth, Player opens 2 + 2 -> 4 while Banker opens 4 -> 5 across 6c (B in [DEP093]). Across [DEP093] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP093] PPBBPBPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Five (5) is depleted to 17/250 in DEP093, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][2] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 166/416 cards in DEP093 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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