Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Third-Card Rule Chart
  3. Depletion #23
SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP023] · 40% DEPTH

Five (5) Depletion at 166/416 Cards (40%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #23

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP023, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 15 copies of Five (5) among 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -20 bps.

DEP023 Shoe Depth
166/416 (40%)
DEP023 5 Density
15/250 (6.00%)
DEP023 Draw Delta
-20 bps
DEP023 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B B B P P P P B P P B B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP023 (Five (5) -> 15/250).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP023 Penetration Depth
166 Dealt / 250 Remaining (40%)

Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP023 Rank 5 Supply
15 of 32 Remaining (6.00%)

Compares depleted density 6.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Five (5).

DEP023 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -20 bps / B-Stand 38 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP023 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP023 Sample Coup Resolution
P(2+2)+8=2 vs B(9+4)=3 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP023.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP023

How Removing Five (5) at 166 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP023)

Within shoe segment [DEP023] at 166 cards out, only 15 of 32 initial Five (5) cards remain inside 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs 7.69%), modifying the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP023-B] Removing 5-point Five (5) cards adjusts Player's 0..5 draw incidence by -20 bps and Banker's standing share by 38 bps; once B=3 faces fifth-card 8, the rulebook stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP023 (Five (5) at 166/416 Cards)
DEP023 MetricDEP023 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP023 At 166 DealtDEP023 Tableau Effect
[DEP023:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)250 Left (40% Dealt)Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt)
[DEP023:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)15/250 (6.00%)Point Value 5
[DEP023:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -20 bps / B 38 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP023:Hand]P=4 vs B=3, P3=8P=2 vs B=35c (B)
  • [DEP023-1] Verify [DEP023] 250 unseen cards remain after 166/416 exit.
  • [DEP023-2] Compare [DEP023] Five (5) density (15/250=6.00%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP023-3] Apply [DEP023] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP023

Why DEP023 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP023-C3] Auditioning [DEP023] at depth, Player opens 4 + 8 -> 2 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP023]). Across [DEP023] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP023] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Five (5) is depleted to 15/250 in DEP023, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 166/416 cards in DEP023 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android