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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP219] · 25% DEPTH

Five (5) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #219

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP219, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 20 copies of Five (5) among 312 unseen cards (6.41% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -29 bps.

DEP219 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP219 5 Density
20/312 (6.41%)
DEP219 Draw Delta
-29 bps
DEP219 Tableau Gate
B6vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B P P P B B B P P P P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP219 (Five (5) -> 20/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP219 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP219 Rank 5 Supply
20 of 32 Remaining (6.41%)

Compares depleted density 6.41% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Five (5).

DEP219 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -29 bps / B-Stand 37 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP219 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP219 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+8=0 vs B(2+4)=6 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP219.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP219

How Removing Five (5) at 104 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP219)

Within shoe segment [DEP219] at 104 cards out, only 20 of 32 initial Five (5) cards remain inside 312 unseen cards (6.41% vs 7.69%), modifying the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.

[DEP219-B] Removing 5-point Five (5) cards adjusts Player's 0..5 draw incidence by -29 bps and Banker's standing share by 37 bps; once B=6 faces fifth-card 8, the rulebook stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP219 (Five (5) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP219 MetricDEP219 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP219 At 104 DealtDEP219 Tableau Effect
[DEP219:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP219:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)20/312 (6.41%)Point Value 5
[DEP219:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -29 bps / B 37 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP219:Hand]P=2 vs B=6, P3=8P=0 vs B=65c (B)
  • [DEP219-1] Verify [DEP219] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP219-2] Compare [DEP219] Five (5) density (20/312=6.41%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP219-3] Apply [DEP219] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP219

Why DEP219 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP219-C10] Auditioning [DEP219] at depth, Player opens 2 + 8 -> 0 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (B in [DEP219]). Across [DEP219] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP219] PPBBPBPPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Five (5) is depleted to 20/312 in DEP219, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP219 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android