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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP149] · 25% DEPTH

Five (5) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #149

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP149, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 22 copies of Five (5) among 312 unseen cards (7.05% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -12 bps.

DEP149 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP149 5 Density
22/312 (7.05%)
DEP149 Draw Delta
-12 bps
DEP149 Tableau Gate
B5vP4:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P P P B B P B B B P P P B P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP149 (Five (5) -> 22/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP149 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP149 Rank 5 Supply
22 of 32 Remaining (7.05%)

Compares depleted density 7.05% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Five (5).

DEP149 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -12 bps / B-Stand 13 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP149 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][4] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 4) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP149 Sample Coup Resolution
P(2+2)+4=8 vs B(A+4)=3 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP149.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP149

How Removing Five (5) at 104 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP149)

Within shoe segment [DEP149] at 104 cards out, only 22 of 32 initial Five (5) cards remain inside 312 unseen cards (7.05% vs 7.69%), modifying the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP149-B] Removing 5-point Five (5) cards adjusts Player's 0..5 draw incidence by -12 bps and Banker's standing share by 13 bps; once B=5 faces fifth-card 4, the rulebook draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP149 (Five (5) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP149 MetricDEP149 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP149 At 104 DealtDEP149 Tableau Effect
[DEP149:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP149:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)22/312 (7.05%)Point Value 5
[DEP149:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -12 bps / B 13 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP149:Hand]P=4 vs B=5, P3=4P=8 vs B=36c (P)
  • [DEP149-1] Verify [DEP149] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP149-2] Compare [DEP149] Five (5) density (22/312=7.05%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP149-3] Apply [DEP149] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][4]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP149

Why DEP149 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP149-C1] Auditioning [DEP149] at depth, Player opens 4 + 4 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP149]). Across [DEP149] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP149] PPBBBPPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Five (5) is depleted to 22/312 in DEP149, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][4] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP149 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android