In shoe-depletion analysis DEP138, 341 of 416 cards (82%) have exited the shoe, leaving 3 copies of Eight (8) among 75 unseen cards (4.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by 30 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 82% shoe-penetration state DEP138 (Eight (8) -> 3/75).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 4.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP138.
Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP138] (Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt)) isolates 3 remaining Eight (8) cards across 75 unseen slots (4.00% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.
[DEP138-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP138] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 30 bps and Banker stand rate by -32 bps, while tableau cell [4][3] draws a sixth card.
| DEP138 Metric | DEP138 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP138 At 341 Dealt | DEP138 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP138:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 75 Left (82% Dealt) | Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) |
| [DEP138:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 3/75 (4.00%) | Point Value 8 |
| [DEP138:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 30 bps / B -32 bps | B4 Draw 2-7 Gate |
| [DEP138:Hand] | P=5 vs B=4, P3=3 | P=8 vs B=3 | 6c (P) |
[DEP138-C2] Auditioning [DEP138] at depth, Player opens 5 + 3 -> 8 while Banker opens 4 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP138]). Across [DEP138] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP138] BBPPBPBBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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About 64 minutes of lessons covering outcomes, the Bead Plate, Big Road columns, and dragon tails.
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