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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP194] · 70% DEPTH

Eight (8) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #194

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP194, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 7 copies of Eight (8) among 125 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by 42 bps.

DEP194 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP194 8 Density
7/125 (5.60%)
DEP194 Draw Delta
42 bps
DEP194 Tableau Gate
B5vP5:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P P P B B B B P P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP194 (Eight (8) -> 7/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP194 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP194 Rank 8 Supply
7 of 32 Remaining (5.60%)

Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).

DEP194 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 42 bps / B-Stand -14 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP194 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 5) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP194 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+5=6 vs B(2+3)=1 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP194.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP194

How Removing Eight (8) at 291 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP194)

Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP194] (Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)) isolates 7 remaining Eight (8) cards across 125 unseen slots (5.60% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP194-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP194] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 42 bps and Banker stand rate by -14 bps, while tableau cell [5][5] draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP194 (Eight (8) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP194 MetricDEP194 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP194 At 291 DealtDEP194 Tableau Effect
[DEP194:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP194:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)7/125 (5.60%)Point Value 8
[DEP194:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 42 bps / B -14 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP194:Hand]P=1 vs B=5, P3=5P=6 vs B=16c (P)
  • [DEP194-1] Verify [DEP194] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP194-2] Compare [DEP194] Eight (8) density (7/125=5.60%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP194-3] Apply [DEP194] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP194

Why DEP194 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP194-C4] Auditioning [DEP194] at depth, Player opens 1 + 5 -> 6 while Banker opens 5 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP194]). Across [DEP194] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP194] BBPPBPBPPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Eight (8) is depleted to 7/125 in DEP194, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][5] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP194 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
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