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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP124] · 70% DEPTH

Eight (8) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #124

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP124, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 5 copies of Eight (8) among 125 unseen cards (4.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by 25 bps.

DEP124 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP124 8 Density
5/125 (4.00%)
DEP124 Draw Delta
25 bps
DEP124 Tableau Gate
B4vP5:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P P B P P P B B B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP124 (Eight (8) -> 5/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP124 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP124 Rank 8 Supply
5 of 32 Remaining (4.00%)

Compares depleted density 4.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).

DEP124 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 25 bps / B-Stand -21 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP124 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][5] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 5) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP124 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+5=8 vs B(2+2)=9 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP124.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP124

How Removing Eight (8) at 291 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP124)

Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP124] (Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)) isolates 5 remaining Eight (8) cards across 125 unseen slots (4.00% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP124-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP124] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 25 bps and Banker stand rate by -21 bps, while tableau cell [4][5] draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP124 (Eight (8) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP124 MetricDEP124 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP124 At 291 DealtDEP124 Tableau Effect
[DEP124:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP124:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)5/125 (4.00%)Point Value 8
[DEP124:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 25 bps / B -21 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP124:Hand]P=3 vs B=4, P3=5P=8 vs B=96c (B)
  • [DEP124-1] Verify [DEP124] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP124-2] Compare [DEP124] Eight (8) density (5/125=4.00%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP124-3] Apply [DEP124] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][5]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP124

Why DEP124 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP124-C8] Auditioning [DEP124] at depth, Player opens 3 + 5 -> 8 while Banker opens 4 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP124]). Across [DEP124] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP124] BBPPBPBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Eight (8) is depleted to 5/125 in DEP124, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][5] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP124 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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