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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP180] · 55% DEPTH

Eight (8) Depletion at 229/416 Cards (55%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #180

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP180, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 9 copies of Eight (8) among 187 unseen cards (4.81% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by 37 bps.

DEP180 Shoe Depth
229/416 (55%)
DEP180 8 Density
9/187 (4.81%)
DEP180 Draw Delta
37 bps
DEP180 Tableau Gate
B5vP7:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B B B P B
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP180 (Eight (8) -> 9/187).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP180 Penetration Depth
229 Dealt / 187 Remaining (55%)

Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP180 Rank 8 Supply
9 of 32 Remaining (4.81%)

Compares depleted density 4.81% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).

DEP180 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 37 bps / B-Stand -34 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP180 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP180 Sample Coup Resolution
P(A+4)+7=2 vs B(2+3)=7 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP180.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP180

How Removing Eight (8) at 229 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP180)

Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP180] (Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt)) isolates 9 remaining Eight (8) cards across 187 unseen slots (4.81% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP180-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP180] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 37 bps and Banker stand rate by -34 bps, while tableau cell [5][7] draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP180 (Eight (8) at 229/416 Cards)
DEP180 MetricDEP180 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP180 At 229 DealtDEP180 Tableau Effect
[DEP180:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)187 Left (55% Dealt)Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt)
[DEP180:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)9/187 (4.81%)Point Value 8
[DEP180:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 37 bps / B -34 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP180:Hand]P=5 vs B=5, P3=7P=2 vs B=76c (B)
  • [DEP180-1] Verify [DEP180] 187 unseen cards remain after 229/416 exit.
  • [DEP180-2] Compare [DEP180] Eight (8) density (9/187=4.81%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP180-3] Apply [DEP180] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP180

Why DEP180 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP180-C10] Auditioning [DEP180] at depth, Player opens 5 + 7 -> 2 while Banker opens 5 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP180]). Across [DEP180] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP180] BBPPPBBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Eight (8) is depleted to 9/187 in DEP180, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 229/416 cards in DEP180 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android