In shoe-depletion analysis DEP040, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 9 copies of Eight (8) among 187 unseen cards (4.81% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by 40 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP040 (Eight (8) -> 9/187).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 4.81% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP040.
Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP040] (Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt)) isolates 9 remaining Eight (8) cards across 187 unseen slots (4.81% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP040-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP040] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 40 bps and Banker stand rate by -17 bps, while tableau cell [3][8] stands pat on five cards.
| DEP040 Metric | DEP040 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP040 At 229 Dealt | DEP040 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP040:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 187 Left (55% Dealt) | Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) |
| [DEP040:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 9/187 (4.81%) | Point Value 8 |
| [DEP040:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 40 bps / B -17 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP040:Hand] | P=3 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=1 vs B=3 | 5c (B) |
[DEP040-C5] Auditioning [DEP040] at depth, Player opens 3 + 8 -> 1 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP040]). Across [DEP040] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP040] BBPPBBPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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