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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP096] · 40% DEPTH

Eight (8) Depletion at 166/416 Cards (40%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #96

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP096, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 14 copies of Eight (8) among 250 unseen cards (5.60% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by 15 bps.

DEP096 Shoe Depth
166/416 (40%)
DEP096 8 Density
14/250 (5.60%)
DEP096 Draw Delta
15 bps
DEP096 Tableau Gate
B4vP5:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P B P B B P P P B B B B P P
Big Eye Boy = = = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ =
Small Road = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP096 (Eight (8) -> 14/250).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 7 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 6 with Column 3, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP096 Penetration Depth
166 Dealt / 250 Remaining (40%)

Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP096 Rank 8 Supply
14 of 32 Remaining (5.60%)

Compares depleted density 5.60% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).

DEP096 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 15 bps / B-Stand -30 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP096 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][5] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 5) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP096 Sample Coup Resolution
P(A+4)+5=0 vs B(2+2)=1 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP096.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP096

How Removing Eight (8) at 166 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP096)

Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP096] (Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt)) isolates 14 remaining Eight (8) cards across 250 unseen slots (5.60% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP096-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP096] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 15 bps and Banker stand rate by -30 bps, while tableau cell [4][5] draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP096 (Eight (8) at 166/416 Cards)
DEP096 MetricDEP096 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP096 At 166 DealtDEP096 Tableau Effect
[DEP096:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)250 Left (40% Dealt)Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt)
[DEP096:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)14/250 (5.60%)Point Value 8
[DEP096:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 15 bps / B -30 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP096:Hand]P=5 vs B=4, P3=5P=0 vs B=16c (B)
  • [DEP096-1] Verify [DEP096] 250 unseen cards remain after 166/416 exit.
  • [DEP096-2] Compare [DEP096] Eight (8) density (14/250=5.60%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP096-3] Apply [DEP096] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][5]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP096

Why DEP096 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP096-C7] Auditioning [DEP096] at depth, Player opens 5 + 5 -> 0 while Banker opens 4 -> 1 across 6c (B in [DEP096]). Across [DEP096] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP096] BBPPBBPBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Eight (8) is depleted to 14/250 in DEP096, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][5] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 166/416 cards in DEP096 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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