In shoe-depletion analysis DEP026, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 16 copies of Eight (8) among 250 unseen cards (6.40% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by 35 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP026 (Eight (8) -> 16/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.40% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP026.
Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP026] (Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt)) isolates 16 remaining Eight (8) cards across 250 unseen slots (6.40% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP026-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP026] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 35 bps and Banker stand rate by -37 bps, while tableau cell [3][8] stands pat on five cards.
| DEP026 Metric | DEP026 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP026 At 166 Dealt | DEP026 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP026:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP026:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 16/250 (6.40%) | Point Value 8 |
| [DEP026:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P 35 bps / B -37 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP026:Hand] | P=1 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=9 vs B=3 | 5c (P) |
[DEP026-C11] Auditioning [DEP026] at depth, Player opens 1 + 8 -> 9 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (P in [DEP026]). Across [DEP026] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP026] BBPPBPBBPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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