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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP292] · 25% DEPTH

Eight (8) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): P0-5 vs B-Stand Impact #292

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP292, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of Eight (8) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by 24 bps.

DEP292 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP292 8 Density
19/312 (6.09%)
DEP292 Draw Delta
24 bps
DEP292 Tableau Gate
B2vP3:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B B B P B
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠
Small Road = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP292 (Eight (8) -> 19/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 4, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 1.
  2. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP292 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP292 Rank 8 Supply
19 of 32 Remaining (6.09%)

Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).

DEP292 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 24 bps / B-Stand -29 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP292 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP292 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+3=6 vs B(10+2)=3 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP292.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP292

How Removing Eight (8) at 104 Cards Affects P0-5 vs B-Stand (DEP292)

Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP292] (Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)) isolates 19 remaining Eight (8) cards across 312 unseen slots (6.09% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.

[DEP292-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP292] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 24 bps and Banker stand rate by -29 bps, while tableau cell [2][3] draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP292 (Eight (8) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP292 MetricDEP292 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP292 At 104 DealtDEP292 Tableau Effect
[DEP292:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP292:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)19/312 (6.09%)Point Value 8
[DEP292:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 24 bps / B -29 bpsP0-5 vs B-Stand
[DEP292:Hand]P=3 vs B=2, P3=3P=6 vs B=36c (P)
  • [DEP292-1] Verify [DEP292] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP292-2] Compare [DEP292] Eight (8) density (19/312=6.09%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP292-3] Apply [DEP292] BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP292

Why DEP292 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP292-C1] Auditioning [DEP292] at depth, Player opens 3 + 3 -> 6 while Banker opens 2 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP292]). Across [DEP292] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP292] BBPPPBBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Eight (8) is depleted to 19/312 in DEP292, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[2][3] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP292 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android