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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP222] · 25% DEPTH

Eight (8) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B6 Draw 6-7 Gate Impact #222

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP222, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 21 copies of Eight (8) among 312 unseen cards (6.73% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by 44 bps.

DEP222 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP222 8 Density
21/312 (6.73%)
DEP222 Draw Delta
44 bps
DEP222 Tableau Gate
B6vP7:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P P B B P B B P P B P P P B B B B
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP222 (Eight (8) -> 21/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP222 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP222 Rank 8 Supply
21 of 32 Remaining (6.73%)

Compares depleted density 6.73% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).

DEP222 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 44 bps / B-Stand -36 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP222 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[6][7] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP222 Sample Coup Resolution
P(A+4)+7=2 vs B(3+3)=1 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP222.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP222

How Removing Eight (8) at 104 Cards Affects B6 Draw 6-7 Gate (DEP222)

Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP222] (Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)) isolates 21 remaining Eight (8) cards across 312 unseen slots (6.73% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.

[DEP222-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP222] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 44 bps and Banker stand rate by -36 bps, while tableau cell [6][7] draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP222 (Eight (8) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP222 MetricDEP222 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP222 At 104 DealtDEP222 Tableau Effect
[DEP222:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP222:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)21/312 (6.73%)Point Value 8
[DEP222:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 44 bps / B -36 bpsB6 Draw 6-7 Gate
[DEP222:Hand]P=5 vs B=6, P3=7P=2 vs B=16c (P)
  • [DEP222-1] Verify [DEP222] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP222-2] Compare [DEP222] Eight (8) density (21/312=6.73%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP222-3] Apply [DEP222] BANKER_TABLEAU[6][7]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP222

Why DEP222 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP222-C5] Auditioning [DEP222] at depth, Player opens 5 + 7 -> 2 while Banker opens 6 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP222]). Across [DEP222] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP222] BBPPPBBPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Eight (8) is depleted to 21/312 in DEP222, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[6][7] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP222 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android