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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP152] · 25% DEPTH

Eight (8) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B5 Draw 4-7 Gate Impact #152

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP152, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of Eight (8) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by 27 bps.

DEP152 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP152 8 Density
19/312 (6.09%)
DEP152 Draw Delta
27 bps
DEP152 Tableau Gate
B5vP7:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B B P P P B B B B P P B P P P B
Big Eye Boy = = = = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = = ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP152 (Eight (8) -> 19/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 3 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 1 column back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP152 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP152 Rank 8 Supply
19 of 32 Remaining (6.09%)

Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).

DEP152 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 27 bps / B-Stand -12 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP152 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 7) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP152 Sample Coup Resolution
P(7+4)+7=8 vs B(2+3)=9 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP152.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP152

How Removing Eight (8) at 104 Cards Affects B5 Draw 4-7 Gate (DEP152)

Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP152] (Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)) isolates 19 remaining Eight (8) cards across 312 unseen slots (6.09% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.

[DEP152-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP152] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 27 bps and Banker stand rate by -12 bps, while tableau cell [5][7] draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP152 (Eight (8) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP152 MetricDEP152 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP152 At 104 DealtDEP152 Tableau Effect
[DEP152:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP152:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)19/312 (6.09%)Point Value 8
[DEP152:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 27 bps / B -12 bpsB5 Draw 4-7 Gate
[DEP152:Hand]P=1 vs B=5, P3=7P=8 vs B=96c (B)
  • [DEP152-1] Verify [DEP152] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP152-2] Compare [DEP152] Eight (8) density (19/312=6.09%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP152-3] Apply [DEP152] BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP152

Why DEP152 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP152-C9] Auditioning [DEP152] at depth, Player opens 1 + 7 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP152]). Across [DEP152] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP152] BBPPBBPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Eight (8) is depleted to 19/312 in DEP152, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[5][7] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP152 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android