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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP082] · 25% DEPTH

Eight (8) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B4 Draw 2-7 Gate Impact #82

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP082, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 21 copies of Eight (8) among 312 unseen cards (6.73% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by 47 bps.

DEP082 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP082 8 Density
21/312 (6.73%)
DEP082 Draw Delta
47 bps
DEP082 Tableau Gate
B4vP3:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B P P P B B B B P P B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠
Cockroach Pig ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP082 (Eight (8) -> 21/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 3, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 1 bead. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 3.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 3 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP082 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP082 Rank 8 Supply
21 of 32 Remaining (6.73%)

Compares depleted density 6.73% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).

DEP082 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 47 bps / B-Stand -19 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP082 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 3) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP082 Sample Coup Resolution
P(9+4)+3=6 vs B(2+2)=7 (B)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP082.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP082

How Removing Eight (8) at 104 Cards Affects B4 Draw 2-7 Gate (DEP082)

Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP082] (Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)) isolates 21 remaining Eight (8) cards across 312 unseen slots (6.73% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.

[DEP082-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP082] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 47 bps and Banker stand rate by -19 bps, while tableau cell [4][3] draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP082 (Eight (8) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP082 MetricDEP082 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP082 At 104 DealtDEP082 Tableau Effect
[DEP082:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP082:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)21/312 (6.73%)Point Value 8
[DEP082:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 47 bps / B -19 bpsB4 Draw 2-7 Gate
[DEP082:Hand]P=3 vs B=4, P3=3P=6 vs B=76c (B)
  • [DEP082-1] Verify [DEP082] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP082-2] Compare [DEP082] Eight (8) density (21/312=6.73%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP082-3] Apply [DEP082] BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3]=true (6c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP082

Why DEP082 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP082-C0] Auditioning [DEP082] at depth, Player opens 3 + 3 -> 6 while Banker opens 4 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP082]). Across [DEP082] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP082] BBPPBPBPPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Eight (8) is depleted to 21/312 in DEP082, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[4][3] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP082 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
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