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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP012] · 25% DEPTH

Eight (8) Depletion at 104/416 Cards (25%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #12

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP012, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 19 copies of Eight (8) among 312 unseen cards (6.09% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by 30 bps.

DEP012 Shoe Depth
104/416 (25%)
DEP012 8 Density
19/312 (6.09%)
DEP012 Draw Delta
30 bps
DEP012 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road B B P P B P B B P P B P P P B B B P B B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP012 (Eight (8) -> 19/312).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP012 Penetration Depth
104 Dealt / 312 Remaining (25%)

Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP012 Rank 8 Supply
19 of 32 Remaining (6.09%)

Compares depleted density 6.09% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Eight (8).

DEP012 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw 30 bps / B-Stand -26 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP012 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP012 Sample Coup Resolution
P(A+4)+8=3 vs B(10+3)=3 (T)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP012.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP012

How Removing Eight (8) at 104 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP012)

Eight-deck checkpoint [DEP012] (Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)) isolates 19 remaining Eight (8) cards across 312 unseen slots (6.09% vs fresh 7.69%) against the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP012-B] Card-counting audits of [DEP012] show Eight (8) (value 8) moving Player draw rate by 30 bps and Banker stand rate by -26 bps, while tableau cell [3][8] stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP012 (Eight (8) at 104/416 Cards)
DEP012 MetricDEP012 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP012 At 104 DealtDEP012 Tableau Effect
[DEP012:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)312 Left (25% Dealt)Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt)
[DEP012:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)19/312 (6.09%)Point Value 8
[DEP012:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP 30 bps / B -26 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP012:Hand]P=5 vs B=3, P3=8P=3 vs B=35c (T)
  • [DEP012-1] Verify [DEP012] 312 unseen cards remain after 104/416 exit.
  • [DEP012-2] Compare [DEP012] Eight (8) density (19/312=6.09%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP012-3] Apply [DEP012] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c T).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP012

Why DEP012 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP012-C4] Auditioning [DEP012] at depth, Player opens 5 + 8 -> 3 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (T in [DEP012]). Across [DEP012] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging T onto [DEP012] BBPPBPBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Eight (8) is depleted to 19/312 in DEP012, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 104/416 cards in DEP012 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android