Skip to main content
Baccarat Smart
  1. Home
  2. Third-Card Rule Chart
  3. Depletion #61
SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP061] · 82% DEPTH

Ace (A) Depletion at 341/416 Cards (82%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #61

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP061, 341 of 416 cards (82%) have exited the shoe, leaving 4 copies of Ace (A) among 75 unseen cards (5.33% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -15 bps.

DEP061 Shoe Depth
341/416 (82%)
DEP061 A Density
4/75 (5.33%)
DEP061 Draw Delta
-15 bps
DEP061 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B P P B B P B B B P P P B P P
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = = ≠ ≠
Small Road ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ = =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 82% shoe-penetration state DEP061 (Ace (A) -> 4/75).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 goes down to Row 2, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 3.
  2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP061 Penetration Depth
341 Dealt / 75 Remaining (82%)

Evaluated at Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP061 Rank A Supply
4 of 32 Remaining (5.33%)

Compares depleted density 5.33% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ace (A).

DEP061 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -15 bps / B-Stand 31 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP061 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP061 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+K)+8=8 vs B(9+4)=3 (P)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP061.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP061

How Removing Ace (A) at 341 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP061)

Tracking [DEP061] across 341/416 dealt cards leaves 4 remaining Ace (A) cards in the 75-card stub (5.33% vs baseline 7.69%), reshaping probabilities for the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP061-B] Point value 1 (Ace (A)) directly feeds two-card sums: depleting it alters Player draw likelihood by -15 bps and Banker stand frequency by 31 bps, while Banker 3 vs P3=8 always stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP061 (Ace (A) at 341/416 Cards)
DEP061 MetricDEP061 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP061 At 341 DealtDEP061 Tableau Effect
[DEP061:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)75 Left (82% Dealt)Pre-Cut-Card Tail (6.5 decks dealt)
[DEP061:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)4/75 (5.33%)Point Value 1
[DEP061:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -15 bps / B 31 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP061:Hand]P=0 vs B=3, P3=8P=8 vs B=35c (P)
  • [DEP061-1] Verify [DEP061] 75 unseen cards remain after 341/416 exit.
  • [DEP061-2] Compare [DEP061] Ace (A) density (4/75=5.33%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP061-3] Apply [DEP061] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP061

Why DEP061 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP061-C9] Auditioning [DEP061] at depth, Player opens 0 + 8 -> 8 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (P in [DEP061]). Across [DEP061] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP061] PPBBPBPPBB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Ace (A) is depleted to 4/75 in DEP061, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 341/416 cards in DEP061 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android