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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP327] · 70% DEPTH

Ace (A) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): P0-5 vs B-Stand Impact #327

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP327, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 6 copies of Ace (A) among 125 unseen cards (4.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -41 bps.

DEP327 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP327 A Density
6/125 (4.80%)
DEP327 Draw Delta
-41 bps
DEP327 Tableau Gate
B2vP2:DRAW
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B P B B B P P P P B P P B B P P B
Big Eye Boy = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = = =
Small Road ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = ≠ = = ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP327 (Ace (A) -> 6/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 3 with Column 2, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Small Road Mark #3

This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

  1. Column 4 goes down to Row 3, so use Rule 2: look 2 columns back, at Column 2.
  2. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 1, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP327 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP327 Rank A Supply
6 of 32 Remaining (4.80%)

Compares depleted density 4.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ace (A).

DEP327 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -41 bps / B-Stand 23 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP327 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2] = true

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 2) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.

DEP327 Sample Coup Resolution
P(10+2)+2=4 vs B(8+4)=1 (P)

Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP327.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP327

How Removing Ace (A) at 291 Cards Affects P0-5 vs B-Stand (DEP327)

Tracking [DEP327] across 291/416 dealt cards leaves 6 remaining Ace (A) cards in the 125-card stub (4.80% vs baseline 7.69%), reshaping probabilities for the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.

[DEP327-B] Point value 1 (Ace (A)) directly feeds two-card sums: depleting it alters Player draw likelihood by -41 bps and Banker stand frequency by 23 bps, while Banker 2 vs P3=2 always draws a sixth card.

Depletion Matrix for DEP327 (Ace (A) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP327 MetricDEP327 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP327 At 291 DealtDEP327 Tableau Effect
[DEP327:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP327:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)6/125 (4.80%)Point Value 1
[DEP327:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -41 bps / B 23 bpsP0-5 vs B-Stand
[DEP327:Hand]P=2 vs B=2, P3=2P=4 vs B=16c (P)
  • [DEP327-1] Verify [DEP327] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP327-2] Compare [DEP327] Ace (A) density (6/125=4.80%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP327-3] Apply [DEP327] BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2]=true (6c P).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP327

Why DEP327 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP327-C12] Auditioning [DEP327] at depth, Player opens 2 + 2 -> 4 while Banker opens 2 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP327]). Across [DEP327] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP327] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Ace (A) is depleted to 6/125 in DEP327, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[2][2] remains true at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP327 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

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  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android