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SHOE PENETRATION & DEPLETION [DEP047] · 70% DEPTH

Ace (A) Depletion at 291/416 Cards (70%): B3 vs P3=8 Shade Impact #47

In shoe-depletion analysis DEP047, 291 of 416 cards (70%) have exited the shoe, leaving 6 copies of Ace (A) among 125 unseen cards (4.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -47 bps.

DEP047 Shoe Depth
291/416 (70%)
DEP047 A Density
6/125 (4.80%)
DEP047 Draw Delta
-47 bps
DEP047 Tableau Gate
B3vP8:STAND
Engine-Verified Scoreboard · 20 Hands

Read the Board at Table Speed

Open this shoe in /calculator
Big Road P P B B B P P B P P B B P B B B P P P P
Big Eye Boy = ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ ≠ = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ = = ≠
Small Road = = ≠ = = ≠ ≠ ≠ = ≠ ≠ ≠ = =
Cockroach Pig ≠ = ≠ = = = = ≠ ≠ = ≠ =

Scoreboard trajectory paired with 70% shoe-penetration state DEP047 (Ace (A) -> 6/125).

Big Road B is Banker, P is Player Roads under it Red (=): repeating Blue (≠): breaking
Step-by-Step Mark Proofs (Rule 1 & Rule 2)
Big Eye Boy Mark #3

Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 3 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 2 with Column 1, 1 column further back.
  2. Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.

Small Road Mark #3

Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 5 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 4 with Column 2, 2 columns further back.
  2. Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Cockroach Pig Mark #3

Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

  1. Column 6 starts, so use Rule 1: compare Column 5 with Column 2, 3 columns further back.
  2. Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).

Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.

Verified Reference Data

Key Facts & Table Specifications

DEP047 Penetration Depth
291 Dealt / 125 Remaining (70%)

Evaluated at Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.

DEP047 Rank A Supply
6 of 32 Remaining (4.80%)

Compares depleted density 4.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ace (A).

DEP047 Player Draw vs Banker Stand Shift
P-Draw -47 bps / B-Stand 20 bps

Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.

DEP047 Fixed Tableau Gate
BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] = false

Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.

DEP047 Sample Coup Resolution
P(2+2)+8=2 vs B(9+4)=3 (B)

Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP047.

COMBINATORIAL DEPLETION · DEP047

How Removing Ace (A) at 291 Cards Affects B3 vs P3=8 Shade (DEP047)

Tracking [DEP047] across 291/416 dealt cards leaves 6 remaining Ace (A) cards in the 125-card stub (4.80% vs baseline 7.69%), reshaping probabilities for the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.

[DEP047-B] Point value 1 (Ace (A)) directly feeds two-card sums: depleting it alters Player draw likelihood by -47 bps and Banker stand frequency by 20 bps, while Banker 3 vs P3=8 always stands pat on five cards.

Depletion Matrix for DEP047 (Ace (A) at 291/416 Cards)
DEP047 MetricDEP047 Fresh 416-ShoeDEP047 At 291 DealtDEP047 Tableau Effect
[DEP047:Shoe]416 Cards (0% Dealt)125 Left (70% Dealt)Deep-Shoe Segment (5.6 decks dealt)
[DEP047:Rank]32/416 (7.69%)6/125 (4.80%)Point Value 1
[DEP047:Shift]Baseline Draw/StandP -47 bps / B 20 bpsB3 vs P3=8 Shade
[DEP047:Hand]P=4 vs B=3, P3=8P=2 vs B=35c (B)
  • [DEP047-1] Verify [DEP047] 125 unseen cards remain after 291/416 exit.
  • [DEP047-2] Compare [DEP047] Ace (A) density (6/125=4.80%) vs 7.69%.
  • [DEP047-3] Apply [DEP047] BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8]=false (5c B).
INDEPENDENCE & ROAD LOGGING · DEP047

Why DEP047 Card Depletion Never Changes Tableau Law or Derived Road Meaning

[DEP047-C2] Auditioning [DEP047] at depth, Player opens 4 + 8 -> 2 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP047]). Across [DEP047] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP047] PPBBBPPBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.

Table Reality Check

Myth vs. Truth

MythWhen Ace (A) is depleted to 6/125 in DEP047, the dealer can choose to stand on a drawing Banker total.
TruthPunto Banco third-card rules are 100% mandatory: BANKER_TABLEAU[3][8] remains false at every shoe depth.
MythDeep shoe penetration at 291/416 cards in DEP047 makes Red on Big Eye Boy mean Banker.
TruthOn Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig, Red (=) always signals repeating Big Road structure and Blue (≠) signals a break.
6 modules · 36 lessons · $25/month · Module 1 (10 lessons) free

Read Every Derived Road at Table Speed

Every reference guide, glossary definition, and road calculator on Baccarat Smart is open for everyone. When you want all 6 modules and 36 lessons (about 5.5 hours of lessons) organized in structured step-by-step order with 74 hands-on boards, 94 quiz checks along the way, and Cloud Shoe Log sync across web, iPhone, and Android, start Module 1 (10 lessons, about 64 minutes of lessons) free or unlock full membership for $25 a month.

  • Structured step-by-step track across Foundations, Big Eye Boy, Small Road, and Cockroach Pig
  • 74 interactive lesson scoreboards and 94 inline quiz checks with plain-English mark feedback
  • Cloud Shoe Log and cross-device progress on web, iOS, and Android