In shoe-depletion analysis DEP033, 229 of 416 cards (55%) have exited the shoe, leaving 12 copies of Ace (A) among 187 unseen cards (6.42% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -42 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 55% shoe-penetration state DEP033 (Ace (A) -> 12/187).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 6 has 1 bead. Column 3 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 6, the one that just finished, with Column 3.
Evaluated at Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.42% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ace (A).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP033.
Tracking [DEP033] across 229/416 dealt cards leaves 12 remaining Ace (A) cards in the 187-card stub (6.42% vs baseline 7.69%), reshaping probabilities for the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP033-B] Point value 1 (Ace (A)) directly feeds two-card sums: depleting it alters Player draw likelihood by -42 bps and Banker stand frequency by 9 bps, while Banker 3 vs P3=8 always stands pat on five cards.
| DEP033 Metric | DEP033 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP033 At 229 Dealt | DEP033 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP033:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 187 Left (55% Dealt) | Mid-Shoe Crossover (4.4 decks dealt) |
| [DEP033:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 12/187 (6.42%) | Point Value 1 |
| [DEP033:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -42 bps / B 9 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP033:Hand] | P=2 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=0 vs B=3 | 5c (B) |
[DEP033-C8] Auditioning [DEP033] at depth, Player opens 2 + 8 -> 0 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP033]). Across [DEP033] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP033] PPBBPPBPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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