In shoe-depletion analysis DEP299, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 15 copies of Ace (A) among 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting P0-5 vs B-Stand frequency by -31 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP299 (Ace (A) -> 15/250).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 3 stopped at Row 1, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 3 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 2 beads. Same depth → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ace (A).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (2, 2) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP299.
Tracking [DEP299] across 166/416 dealt cards leaves 15 remaining Ace (A) cards in the 250-card stub (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%), reshaping probabilities for the Player 0..5 fifth-card draw rate versus Banker 6..7 stand rate.
[DEP299-B] Point value 1 (Ace (A)) directly feeds two-card sums: depleting it alters Player draw likelihood by -31 bps and Banker stand frequency by 32 bps, while Banker 2 vs P3=2 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP299 Metric | DEP299 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP299 At 166 Dealt | DEP299 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP299:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP299:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 15/250 (6.00%) | Point Value 1 |
| [DEP299:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -31 bps / B 32 bps | P0-5 vs B-Stand |
| [DEP299:Hand] | P=4 vs B=2, P3=2 | P=6 vs B=3 | 6c (P) |
[DEP299-C11] Auditioning [DEP299] at depth, Player opens 4 + 2 -> 6 while Banker opens 2 -> 3 across 6c (P in [DEP299]). Across [DEP299] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP299] PPBBPBPPBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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