In shoe-depletion analysis DEP229, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 17 copies of Ace (A) among 250 unseen cards (6.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -14 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP229 (Ace (A) -> 17/250).
Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ace (A).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 6) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP229.
Tracking [DEP229] across 166/416 dealt cards leaves 17 remaining Ace (A) cards in the 250-card stub (6.80% vs baseline 7.69%), reshaping probabilities for the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.
[DEP229-B] Point value 1 (Ace (A)) directly feeds two-card sums: depleting it alters Player draw likelihood by -14 bps and Banker stand frequency by 39 bps, while Banker 6 vs P3=6 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP229 Metric | DEP229 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP229 At 166 Dealt | DEP229 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP229:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP229:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 17/250 (6.80%) | Point Value 1 |
| [DEP229:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -14 bps / B 39 bps | B6 Draw 6-7 Gate |
| [DEP229:Hand] | P=0 vs B=6, P3=6 | P=6 vs B=1 | 6c (P) |
[DEP229-C2] Auditioning [DEP229] at depth, Player opens 0 + 6 -> 6 while Banker opens 6 -> 1 across 6c (P in [DEP229]). Across [DEP229] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging P onto [DEP229] PPBBBPPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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