In shoe-depletion analysis DEP159, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 15 copies of Ace (A) among 250 unseen cards (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B5 Draw 4-7 Gate frequency by -34 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP159 (Ace (A) -> 15/250).
Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Column 4 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Column 5 has 2 beads. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.00% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ace (A).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (5, 6) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP159.
Tracking [DEP159] across 166/416 dealt cards leaves 15 remaining Ace (A) cards in the 250-card stub (6.00% vs baseline 7.69%), reshaping probabilities for the Banker 5 four-value draw threshold against 4..7.
[DEP159-B] Point value 1 (Ace (A)) directly feeds two-card sums: depleting it alters Player draw likelihood by -34 bps and Banker stand frequency by 15 bps, while Banker 5 vs P3=6 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP159 Metric | DEP159 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP159 At 166 Dealt | DEP159 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP159:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP159:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 15/250 (6.00%) | Point Value 1 |
| [DEP159:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -34 bps / B 15 bps | B5 Draw 4-7 Gate |
| [DEP159:Hand] | P=2 vs B=5, P3=6 | P=8 vs B=9 | 6c (B) |
[DEP159-C6] Auditioning [DEP159] at depth, Player opens 2 + 6 -> 8 while Banker opens 5 -> 9 across 6c (B in [DEP159]). Across [DEP159] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP159] PPBBBPPBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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