In shoe-depletion analysis DEP089, 166 of 416 cards (40%) have exited the shoe, leaving 17 copies of Ace (A) among 250 unseen cards (6.80% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B4 Draw 2-7 Gate frequency by -17 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 40% shoe-penetration state DEP089 (Ace (A) -> 17/250).
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
This bead is at Row 2. Column 2 has a bead at Row 2 too → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.80% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ace (A).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (4, 2) but never alters the fixed DRAW rule.
Verified 6-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP089.
Tracking [DEP089] across 166/416 dealt cards leaves 17 remaining Ace (A) cards in the 250-card stub (6.80% vs baseline 7.69%), reshaping probabilities for the Banker 4 active six-card draw window against 2..7.
[DEP089-B] Point value 1 (Ace (A)) directly feeds two-card sums: depleting it alters Player draw likelihood by -17 bps and Banker stand frequency by 22 bps, while Banker 4 vs P3=2 always draws a sixth card.
| DEP089 Metric | DEP089 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP089 At 166 Dealt | DEP089 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP089:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 250 Left (40% Dealt) | Mid-Early Penetration (3.2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP089:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 17/250 (6.80%) | Point Value 1 |
| [DEP089:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -17 bps / B 22 bps | B4 Draw 2-7 Gate |
| [DEP089:Hand] | P=4 vs B=4, P3=2 | P=6 vs B=7 | 6c (B) |
[DEP089-C10] Auditioning [DEP089] at depth, Player opens 4 + 2 -> 6 while Banker opens 4 -> 7 across 6c (B in [DEP089]). Across [DEP089] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP089] PPBBPPBBBP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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