In shoe-depletion analysis DEP215, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 20 copies of Ace (A) among 312 unseen cards (6.41% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B6 Draw 6-7 Gate frequency by -46 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP215 (Ace (A) -> 20/312).
Column 3 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 3, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
This bead is at Row 3. Column 2 stopped at Row 2, one row above → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 2 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 4 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 4, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 6.41% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ace (A).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (6, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP215.
Tracking [DEP215] across 104/416 dealt cards leaves 20 remaining Ace (A) cards in the 312-card stub (6.41% vs baseline 7.69%), reshaping probabilities for the Banker 6 two-value sixth-card trigger against 6 or 7.
[DEP215-B] Point value 1 (Ace (A)) directly feeds two-card sums: depleting it alters Player draw likelihood by -46 bps and Banker stand frequency by 28 bps, while Banker 6 vs P3=8 always stands pat on five cards.
| DEP215 Metric | DEP215 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP215 At 104 Dealt | DEP215 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP215:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP215:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 20/312 (6.41%) | Point Value 1 |
| [DEP215:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -46 bps / B 28 bps | B6 Draw 6-7 Gate |
| [DEP215:Hand] | P=4 vs B=6, P3=8 | P=2 vs B=6 | 5c (B) |
[DEP215-C8] Auditioning [DEP215] at depth, Player opens 4 + 8 -> 2 while Banker opens 6 -> 6 across 5c (B in [DEP215]). Across [DEP215] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP215] PPBBPBBBPP updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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