In shoe-depletion analysis DEP005, 104 of 416 cards (25%) have exited the shoe, leaving 22 copies of Ace (A) among 312 unseen cards (7.05% vs baseline 7.69%) and shifting B3 vs P3=8 Shade frequency by -32 bps.
Scoreboard trajectory paired with 25% shoe-penetration state DEP005 (Ace (A) -> 22/312).
Column 2 has 3 beads. Column 1 has 2 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 2, the one that just finished, with Column 1.
This bead is at Row 4. Column 1 stopped at Row 2, more than one row above → red (=).
Common table reading watchout: Thinking "no bead at this row" means blue. It is blue only when Column 1 stopped exactly one row above this bead.
Column 5 has 1 bead. Column 2 has 3 beads. Different depth → blue (≠).
Common table reading watchout: Comparing the wrong columns. Compare Column 5, the one that just finished, with Column 2.
Evaluated at Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) in a standard 8-deck (416-card) Punto Banco shoe.
Compares depleted density 7.05% against fresh 8-deck baseline 7.69% for Ace (A).
Net basis-point movement in Player 0..5 fifth-card drawing vs Banker standing frequency.
Card removal alters entry probabilities into (3, 8) but never alters the fixed STAND rule.
Verified 5-card hand via resolveHand() at penetration checkpoint DEP005.
Tracking [DEP005] across 104/416 dealt cards leaves 22 remaining Ace (A) cards in the 312-card stub (7.05% vs baseline 7.69%), reshaping probabilities for the Banker 3 standing exception on Player third-card 8.
[DEP005-B] Point value 1 (Ace (A)) directly feeds two-card sums: depleting it alters Player draw likelihood by -32 bps and Banker stand frequency by 18 bps, while Banker 3 vs P3=8 always stands pat on five cards.
| DEP005 Metric | DEP005 Fresh 416-Shoe | DEP005 At 104 Dealt | DEP005 Tableau Effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| [DEP005:Shoe] | 416 Cards (0% Dealt) | 312 Left (25% Dealt) | Early-Shoe Quarter Marker (2 decks dealt) |
| [DEP005:Rank] | 32/416 (7.69%) | 22/312 (7.05%) | Point Value 1 |
| [DEP005:Shift] | Baseline Draw/Stand | P -32 bps / B 18 bps | B3 vs P3=8 Shade |
| [DEP005:Hand] | P=4 vs B=3, P3=8 | P=2 vs B=3 | 5c (B) |
[DEP005-C7] Auditioning [DEP005] at depth, Player opens 4 + 8 -> 2 while Banker opens 3 -> 3 across 5c (B in [DEP005]). Across [DEP005] 8-deck shoes, main-bet house edge stays near 1.06% (Banker) and 1.24% (Player), and logging B onto [DEP005] PPBBBPPPPB updates derived roads by Big Road column symmetry.
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